Clarivate Epidemiology's coverage of pancreatic cancer comprises epidemiological estimates of key patient populations across 45 countries worldwide. We report both the incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer for each country, as well as annualized case counts projected to the national population.
Most patient populations are forecast over a period of 20 years for the major mature pharmaceutical markets and 10 years for the other countries covered in this report. In addition to forecasting incident and prevalent patient populations, the number of drug-treatment opportunities at specific lines of therapy are also forecast across the world.
Clarivate Epidemiology's pancreatic cancer forecast will answer the following questions:
All forecast data are available on the Clarivate Insights Platform in tabular format, with options to download to MS Excel. All populations are accompanied by a comprehensive description of the methods and data sources used, with hyperlinks to external sources. A summary evidence table generated as part of our systematic review of the epidemiological literature is also provided for full transparency into research and methods. In addition, we provide a graphical depiction of the patient flow between or within different disease states for the countries considered in this report. These patient flow diagrams are provided at the regional level, but may be requested for any specific country or forecast year.
In addition to the total number of cases for each forecast year, Clarivate Epidemiology also provides at least ten years of forecast data for the following pancreatic cancer subpopulations:
Note: coverage may vary by country.
How will changes in the levels of exposure to known risk or protective factors affect the number of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer per year?
In developing countries, what impact will economic growth and development have on the number of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer per year?
How will improvements in survival change the number of first-line drug-treatment opportunities for pancreatic cancer?
How will decreasing recurrence risk change the number of first-line drug-treatment opportunities for pancreatic cancer?
Of all people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, how many in each country across the major mature pharmaceutical markets are drug-treated?
How will demographic trends, such as population aging and improving life expectancy, affect the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer over the forecast period?
Diagnosed prevalent cases by drug-treatment eligibility
Drug-treatable prevalent cases by resection status
First-line metastatic drug-treatable population by drug-treatment s status
Incidence of Exocrine Pancreatic Cancer per 100,000 per Year Among People of All Ages in 2021 and 2031ttttttttt
Relative Sizes of the Factors Contributing to the Trend in Incident Cases of Exocrine Pancreatic Cancer over the Next Ten Years
Analysis of the Incident Cases of Exocrine Pancreatic Cancer in 2021 by Stage at Diagnosisttttttttt
Diagnosed Incident Cases
Stage Distribution of Pancreatic Cancer
Recurrent Incident Cases of Pancreatic Cancer
Diagnosed Prevalent Cases
Studies Included in the Analysis of Pancreatic Cancer
Studies Excluded from the Analysis of Pancreatic Cancer
Risk/Protective Factors for Pancreatic Cancer
T.J. Arndt, M.P.H., C.P.H.
Thomas J. Arndt, M.P.H., C.P.H., is a senior epidemiologist at Clarivate. He earned his master’s degree in public health at the University of Florida, where he conducted an internship developing a clinical model for noninvasively screening for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). He also holds a B.S. in microbiology and cell science and a B.A. in Spanish, both from the University of Florida. While studying at the University of Florida, Mr. Arndt worked in two physiology-based research labs focusing on maternal and fetal stresses during pregnancy and parturition.