Obesity/Overweight – Landscape & Forecast – Disease Landscape & Forecast

Obesity is a significant public health concern in the G7 countries and is growing as an epidemic. The body of evidence highlighting the physical and economic impact of obesity on society is steadily increasing. Despite the disease’s prevalence, few drug treatments are available, especially in Europe and Japan. Compounding this problem is the fact that available treatments do not have desirable risk-benefit profiles at low prices; in addition, few novel agents are in development for obesity. Consequently, there is a huge market opportunity for an antiobesity drug that elicits sustained weight loss and is safe, well tolerated, and affordable. However, with the prevalence of obesity, even if such an agent is developed and approved, payers will likely need to restrict its access to limit the impact on finite healthcare budgets.

Questions answered:

  • Which metabolic and central pathways have high potential as drug targets?
  • What is the prevalence of obesity in the major pharmaceutical markets under study?
  • How is obesity currently treated? What do experts think about Novo Nordisk’s Saxenda as a treatment for obese / overweight patients?
  • What is the current level of unmet need according to obesity experts? How will this need be addressed over the 2020-2030 forecast period?
  • What is the commercial potential of emerging therapies? How do leaders in the field of obesity management rate these drug candidates?
  • How will the obesity market evolve over the next 10 years?

CONTENT HIGHLIGHTS

  • Markets covered: United States, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, Japan.
  • Primary research: 20 country-specific interviews with thought-leading endocrinologists. Supported by survey data collected for this and other Clarivate research.
  • Epidemiology: Prevalence of obesity and drug-treatable overweight by country, including diagnosed and drug-treated populations.
  • Emerging therapies: Coverage of select emerging therapies from preclinical to preregistration stages.
  • Market forecast features: 10-year, annualized, drug-level sales and patient share of key obesity therapies through 2030, segmented by brands / generics and epidemiological subpopulations.

Product description:

Disease Landscape & Forecast provides comprehensive market intelligence with world-class epidemiology, keen insight into current treatment paradigms, in-depth pipeline assessments, and drug forecasts supported by detailed primary and secondary research.

SOLUTION ENHANCEMENT

Disease Landscape & Forecast features continuous updates to provide timely insights and analyses as meaningful indication-specific news and events unfold.

Table of contents

  • Obesity/Overweight - Landscape & Forecast - Disease Landscape & Forecast
    • Key Updates
      • Q2 2022
        • April 2022
      • Q1 2022
        • March 2022
        • February 2022
        • January 2022
      • Q4 2021
        • December 2021
      • Q3 2021
        • September 2021
        • August 2021
        • July 2021
      • Q2 2021
        • June 2021
        • May 2021
        • April 2021
      • Q1 2021
        • March 2021
        • February 2021
        • January 2021
    • Key Findings
      • Obesity / Overweight Key Findings - December 2021
        • March 2021
        • February 2021
        • January 2021
    • Market Outlook
      • Key Findings
        • Market Share of Drug Classes for Obesity / Overweight: 2020
        • Market Share of Drug Classes for Obesity / Overweight: 2030
        • Obesity / Overweight SWOT Analysis
      • COVID-19: Market Forecast Impact
        • Market Drivers and Constraints
          • What Factors Are Driving the Market for Obesity / Overweight?
          • What Factors Are Constraining the Market for Obesity / Overweight?
          • Patient Share by Drug Class for Obesity in the Major Markets: 2020-2030
          • Total Obesity Sales by Drug Class in the Major Markets: 2020-2030
          • Sales by Obese and Drug-Eligible Overweight Subpopulations in the United States: 2020-2030
        • Drug-Class-Specific Trends
          • Patient Share of Saxenda and Wegovy in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Saxenda and Wegovy for Obesity in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Saxenda and Wegovy in the Major European Markets: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Saxenda and Wegovy for Obesity in the Major European Markets: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Wegovy for Obesity in Japan: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Wegovy for Obesity in Japan: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Tirzepatide in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Tirzepatide in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Tirzepatide in the Major European Markets: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Tirzepatide in the Major European Markets: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Tirzepatide in Japan: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Tirzepatide in Japan: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Qsymia and Contrave / Mysimba in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Qsymia and Contrave / Mysimba in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Contrave / Mysimba in the Major European Markets: 2020-2030
          • Total Sales of Contrave / Mysimba in the Major European Markets: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Off-Label Prescription Drugs for Obesity in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Sales of Off-Label Prescription Drugs for Obesity in the United States: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Off-Label Prescription Drugs for Obesity in Europe: 2020-2030
          • Sales of Off-Label Prescription Drugs for Obesity in Europe: 2020-2030
          • Patient Share of Off-Label Prescription Drugs for Obesity in Japan: 2020-2030
      • Forecast
        • Market Forecast Assumptions - Obesity (2020-2030) - December 2021
        • Market Forecast Dashboard - Obesity (2020-2030) - December 2021
      • Etiology and Pathophysiology
        • Disease Overview
          • Etiology
            • Pathophysiology
              • Natural History
                • Major Complications Related to Obesity
              • Key Pathways and Drug Targets
                • Drug Targets in Obesity: Energy Storage
                • Drug Targets in Obesity: Energy Expenditure
                • Drug Targets in Obesity: Gastrointestinal System
                • Neural and Hormonal Mediators of Hunger and Satiety
                • Drug Targets in Obesity: Central Nervous System
                • Hypothalamic Structures of the Brain Involved in Food Intake Regulation
            • Epidemiology
              • Key Findings
                • Epidemiology Populations
                  • Disease Definition
                  • Methods
                  • Sources Used for the Total Prevalence of Obesity and Overweight
                  • Total Prevalent Cases of Obesity: 2020-2030 (millions)
                  • Total Prevalent Cases of Overweight: 2020-2030 (millions)
                  • Disease Definition
                  • Methods
                  • Sources Used for Obesity Subtypes by Disease Severity
                  • Total Prevalent Cases of Obesity by Disease Severity: 2020-2030 (millions)
                  • Disease Definition
                  • Methods
                  • Sources Used for Total Prevalence of Drug-Eligible Overweight
                  • Total Prevalent Cases of Drug-Eligible Overweight: 2020-2030 (millions)
                  • Diagnosed Prevalent Cases
                  • Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Obesity in the Mature Markets (thousands): 2020-2030
                  • Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Drug-Eligible Overweight in the Mature Markets (thousands): 2020-2030
                  • Drug-Treated Cases of Obesity and Overweight
                  • Drug-Treated Cases of Obesity in the Mature Markets (thousands): 2020-2030
                  • Drug-Treated Cases of Overweight in the Mature Markets (thousands): 2020-2030
              • Current Treatment
                • Key Findings
                  • Treatment Goals
                    • Key Endpoints Used in Clinical Trials for Obesity
                  • Key Current Therapies
                    • Overview
                    • Mechanism of Action of Key Current Drug Classes Used for Obesity
                    • Current Treatments Used for Obesity
                    • Market Events Impacting the Use of Key Current Therapies for Obesity
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Saxenda
                    • Expert Insight: Saxenda
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Qsymia
                    • Expert Insight: Qsymia
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Contrave / Mysimba
                    • Expert Insight: Contrave / Mysimba
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Xenical
                    • Expert Insight: Xenical
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Phentermine
                    • Expert Insight: Phentermine
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Mazindol
                    • Expert Insight: Mazindol
                    • Advantages and Disadvantages of Off-Label Prescription Drugs
                    • Expert Insight: Off-Label Prescription Drugs
                  • Medical Practice
                    • Overview
                    • Factors Influencing Drug Selection in Obesity
                    • Treatment Decision Tree for Obesity: United States
                    • Treatment Decision Tree for Obesity: Europe
                    • Treatment Decision Tree for Obesity: Japan
                • Unmet Need Overview
                  • Current and Future Attainment of Unmet Needs in Obesity / Overweight
                  • Top Unmet Needs in Obesity: Current and Future Attainment
                  • Expert Insight: Unmet Need in Obesity / Overweight
                • Emerging Therapies
                  • Key Findings
                    • Key Emerging Therapies
                      • Key Therapies in Development for Obesity
                      • Estimated Launch Dates of Key Emerging Therapies for the Treatment of Obesity
                      • Semaglutide Profile
                      • Expert Insight: Semaglutide
                      • Expectations for Launch and Sales Opportunity of Semaglutide in Obesity
                      • Tirzepatide Profile
                      • Analysis of the Clinical Development Program for Tirzepatide
                      • Expert Insight: Tirzepatide
                      • Expectations for Launch and Sales Opportunity of Tirzepatide in Obesity
                    • Early-Phase Pipeline Analysis
                      • Select Compounds in Early-Phase Development for Obesity / Overweight
                    • Key Discontinuations and Failures in Obesity / Overweight
                      • Key Discontinuations and Failures
                  • Access & Reimbursement Overview
                    • Region-Specific Reimbursement Practices
                      • Key Market Access Considerations in Obesity: United States
                      • General Reimbursement Environment: United States
                      • Key Market Access Considerations in Obesity: EU5
                      • General Reimbursement Environment: EU5
                      • Key Market Access Considerations in Obesity: Japan
                      • General Reimbursement Environment: Japan
                  • Appendix
                    • Obesity Bibliography

                launch Related Market Assessment Reports