Disease forecasts

Understanding the HIV challenge in South Africa

The quest to reduce the HIV burden in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) involves a multi-faceted and multi-disciplinary approach. While detailed understanding of the pathogenesis, virology, immunology and epidemiology as it relates to HIV/AIDS is crucial, ways to curb the disease require constant attention and innovation, as do the socio-economic implications. Working in partnership is critical, given […]

The contribution of Type 2 diabetes to the disease burden in South Africa

In South Africa, 1,826,100 cases of diabetes were reported in 2017, corresponding to a prevalence of 5.4%. Overall, numbers are reported to be increasing over time. Diabetes also ranked high among the top 10 leading natural causes of death, accounting for 5.4% of deaths (year 2015). Approximately 14% of ischemic heart disease, 10% of stroke, […]

The largest-ever listeria outbreak is occurring in South Africa: What is the source?

Current status An outbreak of listeria was declared in South Africa on Dec. 5, 2017. As of Jan. 17, 2018, up to 748 confirmed cases of listeriosis have been reported in the country, making it the world’s largest-ever listeria outbreak. Emerging as a simple flu-like illness, listeriosis may cause diarrhea, fever, general body pains, vomiting […]

Predictive analytics yield better disease forecasting: the example of MS

The possibilities Disease forecasts are market analytics, aimed at understanding and predicting a product’s market potential. Prediction modelling usually involves a prediction profile (algorithm) from past studies. The model is then “deployed” so that a new individual can get a prediction instantly for whatever the need be, such as an epidemiological endpoint. Predictions can range from […]