Obesity/Overweight – Unmet Need – Detailed, Expanded Analysis: Obesity / Overweight: US/EU

Obesity is a significant public health concern in the United States and Europe. Its chronic progression is associated with type 2 diabetes and adverse cardiovascular (CV) health. Following a series of high-profile market withdrawals, the obesity drug landscape has seen several new treatments launch since 2012, but uptake of these agents has been slow, suggesting suboptimal risk-benefit profiles and reflecting the poor reimbursement environment for prescription weight-loss agents. In this report, endocrinologists compare current antiobesity drugs and discuss the attributes that the next generation of drugs should have to serve this medically important population and to succeed commercially in a potentially lucrative market.

QUESTIONS ANSWERED

  • How do endocrinologists rate current antiobesity drugs, such as Novo Nordisk’s Saxenda?
  • What drug attributes are key influencers, which have limited impact, and which are hidden opportunities?
  • What trade-offs across different clinical attributes and prices are needed from new obesity drugs in order to be preferred by endocrinologists?
  • How can less-frequent dosing, route of administration, CV and renal benefit, and efficacy influence physician preference?

PRODUCT DESCRIPTION

Unmet Need supports clinical development decisions by identifying key attributes and assessing areas of unmet need for a specific disease or subpopulation. Based on surveys with the United States and European physicians, this report provides insight into key treatment drivers and goals, the performance of current therapies, and the remaining commercial opportunities. One market scenario is profiled in detail by DRG experts, and additional customized market scenarios can be evaluated with the corresponding TPP simulator.

Markets covered: United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany

Primary research: Survey of 60 U.S. and 30 European endocrinologists fielded in February 2021

Key companies: Novo Nordisk, Vivus, Currax Pharmaceuticals, Orexigen Therapeutics

Key drugs: Saxenda, Qsymia, Contrave/Mysimba, Xenical, phentermine

Table of contents

  • Obesity/Overweight - Unmet Need - Detailed, Expanded Analysis: Obesity / Overweight: US/EU
    • Executive Summary
      • Unmet Need - Obesity - Executive Summary - March 2021
    • Introduction
      • Overview
      • Methodology
      • Rationale for Treatment Drivers and Goals Selection
        • Rationale for Drug Selection
          • Products for Obesity and Rationale for Drug Selection
      • Treatment Drivers and Goals
        • Key Findings: Attribute Importance
        • Relative Importance of Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability, Convenience of Administration, and Nonclinical Attributes to Surveyed Endocrinologists' Prescribing Decisions in Obesity
        • Importance of Efficacy Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: United States
        • Importance of Efficacy Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: Europe
        • Importance of Safety and Tolerability Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: United States
        • Importance of Safety and Tolerability Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: Europe
        • Importance of Convenience of Administration Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: United States
        • Importance of Convenience of Administration Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: Europe
        • Importance of Nonclinical Factors to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: United States
        • Importance of Nonclinical Factors to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: Europe
        • Key Findings: Stated vs. Derived Importance
        • Stated vs. Derived Importance of Key Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability, Convenience of Administration, and Nonclinical Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: United States
        • Stated vs. Derived Importance of Key Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability, Convenience of Administration, and Nonclinical Attributes to Prescribing Decisions in Obesity: Europe
      • Product Performance Against Treatment Drivers and Goals
        • Key Findings
        • Overall Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity: United States
        • Overall Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity: Europe
        • Mean Overall Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity: United States and Europe
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Efficacy Attributes: United States
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Efficacy Attributes: Europe
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Safety and Tolerability Attributes: United States
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Safety and Tolerability Attributes: Europe
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Convenience of Administration Attributes: United States
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Convenience of Administration Attributes: Europe
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Nonclinical Attributes: United States
        • Relative Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity Across Select Nonclinical Attributes: Europe
      • Assessment of Unmet Need
        • Key Findings: Unmet Need in Obesity
        • Surveyed Endocrinologistsu2019 Satisfaction with the Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity on Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability, Convenience of Administration, and Nonclinical Factors: United States
        • Surveyed Endocrinologistsu2019 Satisfaction with the Performance of Key Therapies for Obesity on Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability, Convenience of Administration, and Nonclinical Factors: Europe
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Efficacy Attributes in Obesity: United States
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Efficacy Attributes in Obesity: Europe
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Safety and Tolerability Attributes in Obesity: United States
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Safety and Tolerability Attributes in Obesity: Europe
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Convenience of Administration Attributes in Obesity: United States
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Convenience of Administration Attributes in Obesity: Europe
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Nonclinical Factors in Obesity: United States
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need Across Key Nonclinical Factors in Obesity: Europe
        • Key Findings: Unmet Need in Obesity and Related Indications
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need in Obesity and Related Indications: United States
        • Surveyed Endocrinologists' Ascribed Level of Unmet Need in Obesity and Related Indications: Europe
      • Opportunity Analysis
        • Areas of Opportunity in the Obesity Market and Emerging Therapy Insights
          • Opportunity: Antiobesity Agents with Substantial Body Weight Loss
          • Opportunity: An Agent Effective in Reducing Body Fat and Preventing Adiposopathy
          • Opportunity: An Antiobesity Agent Effective in Reducing Cardiovascular Adverse Event Rates
      • Target Product Profiles
        • Assessing Drug Development Opportunities
        • Target Product Profile Methodology
          • Attributes and Attribute Levels
        • Attribute Importance and Part-Worth Utilities
          • Obesity Target Product Profile: Attribute Importance
          • Mean Body Weight Loss After One Year
          • Mean Reduction in Body Fat After One Year
          • Mean Reduction in HbA1c After One Year (in Diabetics)
          • Mean Reduction in Cardiovascular Adverse Event Rates
          • Risk of Neuropsychiatric Adverse Events
          • Dosing Burden
          • Price per Day
        • Conjoint Analysis-Based Simulation of a Market Scenario
          • Obesity Market Simulation: Share of Preference of Target Product Profiles Included in the Market Scenario
          • Obesity Market Simulation: Likelihood to Prescribe Target Product Profiles Included in the Market Scenario
          • Obesity Market Simulation: Target Product Profiles Included in the Market Scenario
      • Appendix
        • Key Abbreviations
        • Bibliography